TORONTO HEAT HEALTH ALERT SYSTEM
Morning Forecast

Forecast for 9/20 - 9/22/2002

9/20: ROUTINE MONITORING
Conditions near oppressive levels - 18% chance of excess mortality

9/21: ROUTINE MONITORING
Conditions near oppressive levels - 3% chance of excess mortality

9/22: ROUTINE MONITORING
Conditions not oppressive

 

DAY                     09/20                 09/21                 09/22
HOUR        05   11   17   23     05   11   17   23     05   11   17   23
TEMPERATURE 23   25   30   23     21   22   25   20     16   20   23   17
DEW POINT   19   19   20   19     18   20   18   18     16   18   13   13
HUMIDEX     28   30   37   28     25   28   30   24     18   24   25   18
CLOUDINESS                 10                     9                     8
AIR MASS                 MT+                   MT+                    MT
DAY IN ROW                  2                     3                     0
 
 9 / 21 : Air Mass is borderline non-offensive.


Forecast data provided by Meteorological Service of Canada - Ontario Region
Click here for the latest 5-day Public Forecast and latest observation at Pearson Airport

SYSTEM LEVELS

HEAT EMERGENCY

The likelihood of weather-related excess mortality occurring exceeds 90 percent.

HEAT ALERT

The likelihood of weather-related excess mortality occurring exceeds 65 percent.

ROUTINE MONITORING

An oppressive air mass is forecast, although conditions do not suggest excess mortality is likely.

or

Weather conditions are not forecast to be oppressive.

Copyright 2001 This page was developed and maintained by Scott Sheridan, Kent State University. This system was developed by researchers in the Center for Climatic Research at the University of Delaware, and Kent State University.